Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Perugia		Rimini

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.05	3.75
	1.69	3.36	6.08
	1.75	3.47	4.63	Watch
	1.98	3.13	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	4.53 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
50.5%

Draw
28.8%

Rimini
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

27.2%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

26.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Rimini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Perugia - Rimini Predictions

Users Predictions: Perugia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Perugia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 26. Calapai L. 32. Megelaitis L. 31. Tozzuolo A. 99. Nwanege K. 17. Terrnava D. 6. Giunti G. 7. Kanoute M. 77. Manzari G. 10. Matos 29. Ogunseye R.	1. Vitali L. (G) 26. Bassoli A. 2. Moray J. 98. Lepri T. 28. Longobardi G. 30. De Vitis A. 80. Leoncini M. 8. Piccoli M. 54. Falasco N. 7. Capac A. 10. D’Agostini L.
Substitutes
16. Bartolomei P. 21. Broh J. 33. Brunori G. 27. Calzoni S. 70. Ciani D. 98. Giraudo F. 4. Joselito 9. Montevago D. 12. Moro L. (G) 71. Rondolini P. 24. Torrasi E. 20. Tumbarello G. 22. Vinti L. (G) 3. Yabre M.	41. Asmussen A. 4. Bellodi G. 66. Boli J. 27. Contaldo F. 3. De Luca E. 5. Fiorini M. 89. Gagliano M. (G) 44. Lopes P. 77. Madonna M. 37. Petta A. 70. Rubino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Lepri T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', De Vitis A. ↓, Fiorini M. ↑,
53', Capac A. ↓, Boli J. ↑,
54', Terrnava D. ↓, Bartolomei P. ↑,
57', Bassoli A. ↓, Bellodi G. ↑,
61', Ogunseye R. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
61', Calapai L. ↓, Giraudo F. ↑,
68', Manzari G. ↓, Tumbarello G. ↑,
72', Falasco N. 🟨,
80', Falasco N. ↓, Petta A. ↑,
80', Leoncini M. ↓, Asmussen A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 0.

Perugia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rimini has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Perugia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
05.10.25	Carpi - Perugia	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Perugia - Pianese	0:1 ✺
23.09.25	Perugia - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Ravenna - Perugia	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Perugia - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rimini FC
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.25	Rimini - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pineto - Rimini	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Rimini	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Rimini - Forlì	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Pontedera - Rimini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.02.25	Rimini - Perugia	1:1
26.09.24	Perugia - Rimini	1:4
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.24	Perugia - Rimini	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
03.02.24	Perugia - Rimini	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.11.23	Rimini - Perugia	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.23	Rimini - Perugia	2:2

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