The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aserrí 35.3%
Draw 28.6%
Santa Ana 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
26.9%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
26.8%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aserrí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Aserrí - Santa Ana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟥,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aserrí won 1.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Santa Ana may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Aserrí has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:33 (averaging 1.3:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aserrí against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:17 goals (averaging 1.5:2.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Aserrí - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Santa Ana - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.11%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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