Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Aserrí		Santa Cruz PFA

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.43	3.3	2.6
	2.71	3.26	2.57	Watch
	2.66	3.2	2.39
	2.43	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.1)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	2.65 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aserrí
37.3%

Draw
28.2%

Santa Cruz PFA
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aserrí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aserrí's form might have worsened.

Santa Cruz PFA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Cruz PFA's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aserrí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Cruz PFA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aserrí - Santa Cruz PFA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Duran A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 and 6).

Recent matches Aserrí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Antioquia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Antioquia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aserrí will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aserrí won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Aserrí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aserrí FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Aserrí	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Aserrí - Turrialba	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Aserrí - Guadalupe	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Limon Black Star - Aserrí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWLL
- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Uruguay de Coronado	2:6 ✺
20.03.25	Turrialba - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1 ✺
17.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Limon Black Star - Santa Cruz PFA	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
15.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Aserrí	1:1
12.10.24	Santa Cruz PFA - Aserrí	0:1
01.09.24	Aserrí - Santa Cruz PFA	1:0

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