Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Turrialba		Santa Cruz PFA

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.65	1.82
	3.76	3.78	1.87	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.85
	3.83	3.62	1.78
	3.6	3.65	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (3.71)	3.64 ↓ (3.75)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turrialba
24.7%

Draw
25.2%

Santa Cruz PFA
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

24.5%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

23.5%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Turrialba have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Santa Cruz PFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turrialba than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Turrialba - Santa Cruz PFA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Moreno J. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 5).

Turrialba has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Antioquia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Turrialba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Turrialba have a series of guest games.

In this match Antioquia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Turrialba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Turrialba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Turrialba
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
15.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Turrialba	5:3 ✺
10.03.25	Turrialba - Desamparados	1:6 ✺
05.03.25	Aserrí - Turrialba	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Turrialba	5:1 ✺
26.02.25	Limon Black Star - Turrialba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLLT
- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
17.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Limon Black Star - Santa Cruz PFA	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
24.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Desamparados - Santa Cruz PFA	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
04.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Turrialba	2:0
02.10.24	Santa Cruz PFA - Turrialba	0:2
22.08.24	Turrialba - Santa Cruz PFA	0:2

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