Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday


	Santa Cruz PFA		Guadalupe

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.7	1.95
	3.1	3.55	2.02
	3.09	3.81	2.09	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.12	3.6	2
	3.1	3.55	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	2.01 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz PFA
29.4%

Draw
25.3%

Guadalupe
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

24.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

24.7%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz PFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Santa Cruz PFA - Guadalupe Predictions

Users Predictions: Guadalupe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Clunie G. ⚽,
78', 🟥,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Antioquia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guadalupe in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Guadalupe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guadalupe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Antioquia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.7:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Antioquia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
09.03.25	Limon Black Star - Santa Cruz PFA	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
24.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Desamparados - Santa Cruz PFA	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Aserrí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWT
- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
10.03.25	Guadalupe - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2 ✺
05.03.25	Desamparados - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Aserrí - Guadalupe	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Guadalupe - Uruguay de Coronado	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Turrialba - Guadalupe	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
31.01.25	Guadalupe - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1
28.09.24	Guadalupe - Santa Cruz PFA	4:0
19.08.24	Santa Cruz PFA - Guadalupe	1:3

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