Match Info

National League North - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.5
	1.98	3.4	3.1	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.45
	1.98	3.54	3.62
	3.06	3.61	2.12	Watch
	1.99	3.44	3.47
	2.15	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	3.17 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
43.6%

Draw
26.9%

Scarborough Athletic
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Chester - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Allan R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 1, Mottley-Henry D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 3.

Recent performances by Chester have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Scarborough is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chester could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chester won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chester - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Scarborough Athletic - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.23%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
02.09.25	Fylde - Chester	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Worksop Town - Chester	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Chester - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	South Shields - Chester	4:0 ✺
19.08.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWLT
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
02.09.25	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Merthyr Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Peterborough Sports	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	Chorley - Scarborough Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.01.25	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	2:4
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	3:1
English National League North
26.08.24	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	3:2
10.02.24	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	3:0
26.08.23	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	1:0
18.03.23	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	2:2
26.11.22	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	1:3

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