The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida 24.8%
Draw 30.9%
Santa Cruz de Natal 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
27.7%
47.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
21.4%
61.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+17%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Santa Cruz de Natal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Potiguar (Second stage ~ Play Offs)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches ASSU won 1.
ASSU is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Santa Cruz de Natal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Santa Cruz de Natal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently ASSU have a series of home games.
Santa Cruz de Natal will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches ASSU won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-15.
Including matches at home between the teams ASSU won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.
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