Match Info

Date: 23 February 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida		Santa Cruz de Natal

	1	X	2
	4	2.65	2.05
	3.65	2.95	2.01
	3.97	2.59	2.11
	3.3	3.2	2
	3.36	3.28	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.57)	2.93 ↓ (3.23)	2.05 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida
24.8%

Draw
30.9%

Santa Cruz de Natal
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

27.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

20.3%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Santa Cruz de Natal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Potiguar (Second stage ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ASSU won 1.

ASSU is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santa Cruz de Natal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Cruz de Natal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently ASSU have a series of home games.

Santa Cruz de Natal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches ASSU won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams ASSU won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
20.02.22	Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - América RN	0:3 ✺
16.02.22	Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Potiguar	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Força e Luz	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - ABC	2:3 ✺
30.01.22	Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Potyguar Seridoense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTLT
- Santa Cruz de Natal
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
19.02.22	Potyguar Seridoense - Santa Cruz de Natal	2:0 ✺
16.02.22	Santa Cruz de Natal - América RN	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Força e Luz - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
20.01.22	Santa Cruz de Natal - Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida	2:2
15.05.21	Santa Cruz de Natal - Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida	3:2
14.03.21	Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:2
09.03.20	Santa Cruz de Natal - Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida	1:1
16.01.20	Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Santa Cruz de Natal	0:3
13.03.19	Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Santa Cruz de Natal	0:3
27.01.19	Santa Cruz de Natal - Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida	0:0

Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Santa Cruz de Natal

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Associação Sportiva Sociedade Unida - Santa Cruz de Natal Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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