Match Info

BRAZIL: Potiguar - Second stage - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Santa Cruz de Natal		ABC

	1	X	2
	3.81	3.15	1.87
	3.81	3.15	1.88
	3.81	3.34	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.5)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	1.87 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz de Natal
23.7%

Draw
28.1%

ABC
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.8%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

24.3%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz de Natal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ABC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, Guilherme V. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, Guilherme V. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz de Natal
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
03.04.24	Baraúnas - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Força e Luz - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Potiguar	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	ABC - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLL
- ABC FC
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
03.04.24	ABC - Globo FC	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.03.24	Ríver PI - ABC	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	ABC - Sport Recife	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	América RN - ABC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
31.03.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	1:0
24.02.24	ABC - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:2 penalties
Club Friendly
31.12.23	ABC - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
09.04.23	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	0:1
11.03.23	ABC - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:0
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	0:3
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
20.03.22	ABC - Santa Cruz de Natal	2:0

Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide