The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz de Natal 21.7%
Draw 28.5%
América RN 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
25%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
22.9%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Santa Cruz de Natal - América RN Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Hebert ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 0 - 2, Giva ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz de Natal won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, América RN is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz de Natal won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:45. (average 0.6:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz de Natal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).
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