Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 13

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Skytteholms IP (Solna)


	Vasalund		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.70	3.30
	1.72	3.80	3.75	Watch
	1.97	3.96	3.38
	1.87	4.54	3.19	Watch
	1.91	3.50	3.10
	1.94	3.89	3.36	Watch
	1.82	3.65	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.84)	3.86 ↑ (3.73)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasalund
49.1%

Draw
23.7%

Karlberg
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

24.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

23.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasalund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Vasalund - Karlberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasalund will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Graasvoll T. (G) 7. Amos P. 21. Bajrovic M. 19. Dejene M. 2. Kallman L. 8. Lundstrom J. 6. Lundvall L. 9. Mac Callum E. 5. Soelberg P. 12. Torppa E. 26. Westin T.	35. Bojang E. (G) 17. Aslund H. 7. Fernandez H. 5. Geiger N. 11. Mitku M. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. (C) 3. Steen V. 13. Sundgren R. 16. Vainio N.
Substitutes
24. Bilgec B. 20. Burman C. 11. Khan A. 27. Schaaf O. 14. Sliwo C. 30. Stattin I. (G) 22. Vucenovic M.	4. Backman A. 14. Fati A. 15. Hall V. 25. Hogberg F. 9. Jamshidi A. 31. Jonsson L. 24. Sietsema L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Lundvall L. ↓, Burman C. ↑,
66', 🟨,
71', 0 - 4, ⚽,
73', Soelberg P. 🟨,
79', Torppa E. ↓, Schaaf O. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasalund won 3.

Vasalund is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Karlberg has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Vasalund has had a series of away games.

Vasalund is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vasalund won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasalund won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32
12	Vasalund	25	7	6	12	36:52	-16	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.06.26	Enköping - Vasalund	1:1 ✺
08.06.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Vasalund	4:1 ✺
03.06.26	Vasalund - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
28.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund	0:1 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
24.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Vasalund	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWW
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.06.26	Karlberg - Hammarby TFF	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlberg	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Karlberg - FBK Karlstad	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Karlberg - Järfälla	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
11.10.25	Karlberg - Vasalund	0:0
30.03.25	Vasalund - Karlberg	2:0
14.10.24	Karlberg - Vasalund	3:1
29.03.24	Vasalund - Karlberg	3:1
Svenska Cupen
02.07.22	Karlberg - Vasalund	2:4
Club Friendly
09.02.20	Vasalund - Karlberg	0:2
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
18.08.18	Karlberg - Vasalund	4:2

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