Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	El Arna, Sport+
Romania	Digi Sport 1, PrimaPlay, Prima Sport 1
World	Prima+ app


	Astana		Corvinul Hunedoara

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	5.25	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.25
	1.55	4	5.5
	1.53	3.95	5.9
	1.53	4.22	5.7	Watch
	1.56	4.17	5.89
	1.55	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	4.05 ↑ (3.82)	5.57 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
60.3%

Draw
23%

Corvinul Hunedoara
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

22.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Corvinul Hunedoara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corvinul Hunedoara than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	8.2%	1.6%

Astana - Corvinul Hunedoara Predictions

Users Predictions: Astana will win (54 of 58 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.58% – 99.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 5. Kazukolovas K. 22. Marochkin A. 45. Amanovic A. 2. Bartolec K. 7. Ebong M. 77. Gripshi N. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 9. Geoffrey C. 28. Camara O.	12. Lefter S. (G) 8. Bradu A. 6. Lica V. 30. Manolache A. 11. Roger 31. Ubbink D. 10. Neacsa A. (C) 97. Hrezdac D. 7. Lupu M. 9. Bus S. 19. Pirvulescu D. N.
Substitutes
11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 3. Kalaica B. 81. Karimov R. 8. Kuat I. 19. Osei B. 74. Seisen M. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G)	1. Blaga C. (G) 27. Campan L. 23. Cararus I. 25. Chukwu I. 20. Girbita A. 17. Grigore D. 14. Hergheligiu A. 18. Mitran T. 3. Pop I. 15. Predica A. 98. Velisar M.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Maxim F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Geoffrey C. ⚽,
40', Bradu A. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', Manolache A. ↓, Pop I. ↑,
49', Marochkin A. ↓, Kalaica B. ↑,
50', Kazukolovas K. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Tomasov M. ⚽, Bartolec K. (A),
60', Neacsa A. 🟨,
66', Roger ↓, Cararus I. ↑,
66', Bradu A. ↓, Velisar M. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Geoffrey C. ⚽, Camara O. (A),
71', Bartolec K. 🟨,
73', 4 - 0, Gripshi N. ⚽, Ebong M. (A),
75', 5 - 0, Tomasov M. ⚽, Gripshi N. (A),
76', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
76', Gripshi N. ↓, Kuat I. ↑,
77', Pop I. ↓, Campan L. ↑,
78', Lupu M. 🟨,
78', 5 - 1, Velisar M. ⚽,
81', Camara O. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
81', Vorogovskiy Y. ↓, Bystrov M. ↑,
84', 6 - 1, Astanov E. ⚽, Kuat I. (A),
85', Neacsa A. ↓, Girbita A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Almaty Central Stadium. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Astana is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Corvinul is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Corvinul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Astana is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Astana to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Astana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh League Cup
11.08.24	Yelimay Semey - Astana	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Corvinul Hunedoara - Astana	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.08.24	Astana - Turan Turkistan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Astana - Milsami Orhei	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Milsami Orhei - Astana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWWT
- Corvinul Hunedoara
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Corvinul Hunedoara - Astana	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.08.24	Rijeka - Corvinul Hunedoara	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Corvinul Hunedoara - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
18.07.24	Corvinul Hunedoara - Paksi SE	0:2 ✺
11.07.24	Paksi SE - Corvinul Hunedoara	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Corvinul Hunedoara - Astana	1:2

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