Match Info

First League - Round 10

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Astana 2		Kairat 2

	1	X	2
	4.60	4.50	1.47
	4.45	4.65	1.49
	4.40	4.60	1.42
	4.37	3.29	1.78	Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (4.37)	4.26 ↑ (3.29)	1.54 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana 2
20.2%

Draw
21.2%

Kairat 2
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27.8%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

27.3%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kairat 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kairat 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana 2 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat 2 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kairat 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', Token A. 🟥,
12', 1 - 0, Tokenov T. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Bagdat R. ⚽, Abish M. (A),
30', 1 - 2, Kerimkhan E. ⚽, Makhametzhan K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 2 - 2, Amangeldinov R. (Penalty Awarded),
76', 2 - 3, Petrik E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Astana 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kairat 2 is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Kairat 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Astana 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Astana 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty 2	23	17	5	1	66:12	54	56
5	FC Astana 2	23	10	3	10	42:43	-1	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana 2
Kazakh First League
11.06.26	Taraz - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
26.05.26	Astana 2 - Khan Tengri	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Astana 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	4:3 ✺
14.05.26	Tobol 2 - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Astana 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.2 WWWWL
- Kairat Almaty 2
Kazakh First League
12.06.26	Kairat 2 - Tobol 2	7:0 ✺
26.05.26	Arys - Kairat 2	0:3 ✺
21.05.26	Kairat 2 - Turan Turkistan	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Kairat 2	1:3 ✺
07.05.26	Kairat 2 - Yelimay 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
15.09.23	Kairat 2 - Astana 2	5:1
25.05.23	Astana 2 - Kairat 2	3:1
17.10.22	Astana 2 - Kairat 2	2:2
10.07.22	Kairat 2 - Astana 2	2:1

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