Match Info

First League - Round 8

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday


	Astana 2		Khan Tengri

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.6	2.15
	2.57	3.55	2.09
	2.34	3.95	2.42	Watch
	2.32	3.68	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.81)	3.7 ↑ (3.46)	2.28 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana 2
36.1%

Draw
24.3%

Khan Tengri
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.4%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Khan Tengri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana 2 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Astana 2 - Khan Tengri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, Amangeldinov R. ⚽,
82', Abdrakhmanov A. 🟥,
83', 1 - 1, Bizhan A. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Mustafin B. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4).

In recent matches, Astana 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Khan Tengri is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Astana 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Astana 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Astana 2	23	10	3	10	42:43	-1	33
10	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana 2
Kazakh First League
21.05.26	Astana 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	4:3 ✺
14.05.26	Tobol 2 - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Astana 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
30.04.26	Arys - Astana 2	3:1 ✺
23.04.26	Astana 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 WWLLW
- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
22.05.26	Khan Tengri - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Arys - Khan Tengri	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Khan Tengri - Akademiya Ontustik	3:0 ✺
01.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Khan Tengri	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Khan Tengri - Jaiyq	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
04.08.23	Astana 2 - Khan Tengri	1:2
28.04.23	Khan Tengri - Astana 2	4:0

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