Match Info

First League - Round 9

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Taraz		Astana 2

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.00	7.50
	1.28	4.95	7.90
	1.23	5.00	7.30
	1.47	3.58	7.46	Watch
	1.30	4.60	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.47)	4.63 ↑ (3.58)	7.43 ↓ (7.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taraz
68.5%

Draw
19.4%

Astana 2
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

25.5%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

24.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taraz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taraz's performance.

Astana 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Serikov N. ⚽, Akhmetov A. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Tokenov T. ⚽,
33', Dairov N. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 2, Kalybayev D. ⚽, Kozhamberdy Z. (A),
90+4', Amangeldinov R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

Taraz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Astana 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Taraz is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Taraz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Taraz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Astana 2	23	10	3	10	42:43	-1	33
7	Taraz	23	8	6	9	30:32	-2	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
27.05.26	Tobol 2 - Taraz	3:3 ✺
22.05.26	Taraz - Arys	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Taraz	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Taraz - Jaiyq	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Taraz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWWL
- FC Astana 2
Kazakh First League
26.05.26	Astana 2 - Khan Tengri	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Astana 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	4:3 ✺
14.05.26	Tobol 2 - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Astana 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
30.04.26	Arys - Astana 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
30.06.23	Taraz - Astana 2	1:1

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