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Current Win Probability
AEL Larissa 34.5%
Draw 31.5%
Asteras Tripolis 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
31.7%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
31.9%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
AEL Larissa - Asteras Tripolis Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Asteras Tripolis: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Venetikidis T. (G) 14. Ferigra E. 33. Rosic L. 28. Batubinsika D. 4. Iliadis T. 22. Papageorgiou A. 25. Sagal A. 8. Perez F. 15. Naor G. 29. Tupta L. 19. Pasas G. (C)
1. Papadopoulos N. (C) 3. Sipcic N. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 69. Alagbe O. 17. Alho N. 10. Gonzalez E. 68. Almyras C. 64. Deligiannidis P. 7. Bartolo J. 41. Macheda F. 40. Ketu K.
Substitutes
10. Andrada L. 31. Atanasov J. 18. Chatzistravos Z. 23. Garate L. 3. Grozos K. 5. Kakuta G. 1. Melissas N. (G) 7. Ngoy J. 20. Olafsson D. 6. Pantelakis E. 77. Sisto P. 26. Staikos P.
55. Archontakakis V. (G) 61. Chatziemmanouil V. (G) 26. Chidera O. M. 99. Grammenos D. 20. Kaltsas N. 74. Laskaris D. 32. Mendieta J. 22. Munoz Mumo 80. Perez B. 96. Simoni A. 27. Tereziou A. 8. Tzandaris T.
Coaches
Festa G.
Antonopoulos G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Naor G. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Macheda F. ⚽, Almyras C. (A),
23', Triantafyllopoulos K. 🟨,
34', Alho N. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Pasas G. ⚽, Sagal A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Iliadis T. ↓, Atanasov J. ↑,
59', Rosic L. 🟨,
61', Bartolo J. 🟨,
61', Venetikidis T. 🟨,
64', Papageorgiou A. ↓, Olafsson D. ↑,
70', Ketu K. ↓, Munoz Mumo ↑,
74', Perez F. ↓, Sisto P. ↑,
78', Macheda F. ↓, Chidera O. M. ↑,
83', Pasas G. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
84', Sagal A. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
88', Gonzalez E. ↓, Tzandaris T. ↑,
88', Bartolo J. ↓, Kaltsas N. ↑,
90+1', Alagbe O. 🟨,
90+3', Chidera O. M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 0.
Recent form of Larissa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Asteras Tripolis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Larissa: Kossonou A.
(Injury)
Macon Y.
(Red Card)
Mourgos S.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:38. (average 1.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).
Greece
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Venetikidis T. (G) 
Ferigra E. 
Rosic L. 
Batubinsika D. 
Sagal A. 
Perez F. 
Naor G. 
Tupta L. 
Sipcic N. 
Alagbe O. 
Alho N. 
Gonzalez E. 
Macheda F. 
Ketu K. 
Atanasov J. 
Ngoy J. 
Olafsson D. 
Sisto P. 
Simoni A. 
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