The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AEL Larissa 36%
Draw 31%
Panetolikos 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
29.3%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
28%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Larissa's form might have worsened.
Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panetolikos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Larissa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panetolikos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
AEL Larissa - Panetolikos Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Panetolikos will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Larissa: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Venetikidis T. (G) 23. Garate L. 28. Batubinsika D. 4. Iliadis T. 27. Macon Y. 90. Sourlis V. 15. Naor G. 20. Olafsson D. 25. Sagal A. 29. Tupta L. 77. Sisto P. (C)
99. Kucherenko Y. (G) 35. Mavrias Ch. 28. Kojic L. 16. Sielis C. 65. Apostolopoulos A. 41. Bouchalakis A. (C) 14. Aleksic K. 22. Esteban Diego 10. Matan A. 19. Farley Rosa 25. Badji Y.
Substitutes
94. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 2. Apostolakis K. 18. Chatzistravos Z. 14. Ferigra E. 3. Grozos K. 5. Kakuta G. 11. Mourgos S. 7. Ngoy J. 19. Pasas G. 8. Perez F. 33. Rosic L.
9. Aguirre J. 8. Belevonis C. 30. Bregou A. 31. Garcia J. 70. Lenny Lobato 15. Manrique C. 71. Michalak K. 5. Mladen S. 77. Nikolaou E. 1. Pardalos M. (G) 18. Satsias G. 12. Zivkovic Z. (G)
Coaches
Pantelidis S.
Anastasiou G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Aleksic K. ⚽, Bouchalakis A. (A),
45', Sourlis V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Olafsson D. ↓, Apostolakis K. ↑,
46', Garate L. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
47', Sielis C. 🟨,
54', Macon Y. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Aleksic K. ⚽, Badji Y. (A),
60', Naor G. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
61', Sisto P. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
66', Mavrias Ch. 🟨,
66', Kojic L. 🟨,
74', Macon Y. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
80', Sagal A. 🟥,
82', Aleksic K. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Kakuta G. ⚽, Tupta L. (A),
85', Farley Rosa ↓, Michalak K. ↑,
90+2', Apostolopoulos A. ↓, Manrique C. ↑,
90+3', Matan A. ↓, Satsias G. ↑,
90+4', Badji Y. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
Larissa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Panetolikos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Larissa has had a series of away games.
Larissa might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
Outrights of Greek Super League for now
Panetolikos: 0.64%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Panetolikos
5
3
0
2
8:7
1
9
Last Results with these Odds
Panetolikos - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Cyprus
Greece
Watch
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Venetikidis T. (G) 
Garate L. 
Batubinsika D. 
Macon Y. 
Naor G. 
Olafsson D. 
Sagal A. 
Tupta L. 
Sisto P. (C) 
Kucherenko Y. (G) 
Kojic L. 
Sielis C. 
Esteban Diego 
Matan A. 
Farley Rosa 
Badji Y. 
Ferigra E. 
Ngoy J. 
Aguirre J. 
Michalak K. 
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