Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Ligorna		Lavagnese

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.48	3.7	5.9
	1.47	3.77	5.74
	1.49	3.88	6.13	Watch
	1.44	3.4	6.5
	1.44	3.76	7.06
	1.47	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)	3.72 ↓ (3.83)	6.1 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ligorna
61.1%

Draw
24.2%

Lavagnese
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.1%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ligorna - Lavagnese Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ligorna will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Ligorna is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ligorna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ligorna	6	3	1	2	11:10	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
15.03.26	Vado - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Ligorna - Gozzano	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ligorna - Club Milano	5:1 ✺
15.02.26	Varese - Ligorna	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Ligorna - Imperia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWWL
- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
15.03.26	Lavagnese - Imperia	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sestri Levante - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lavagnese - Derthona	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Saluzzo - Lavagnese	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Lavagnese - Unione Sanremo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
09.11.25	Lavagnese - Ligorna	1:1
02.03.25	Lavagnese - Ligorna	1:2
27.10.24	Ligorna - Lavagnese	2:0
21.01.24	Lavagnese - Ligorna	0:2
24.09.23	Ligorna - Lavagnese	0:0
13.02.22	Lavagnese - Ligorna	1:2
06.10.21	Ligorna - Lavagnese	2:3

Ligorna - Lavagnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide