The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varese 23.2%
Draw 27.6%
Vado 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
26.4%
49.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
26.7%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Varese - Vado Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Tentoni T. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2.
In recent matches, Varese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vado is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Vado could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Varese won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).