The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Astrakhan 29.1%
Draw 27.3%
Druzhba Maykop 43.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.2%
26.2%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
25.8%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Druzhba Maykop has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Druzhba Maykop than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Astrakhan - Druzhba Maykop Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Zolotorenko D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
62', 1 - 1, Ashev A. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Pacho ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Ashev A. (Penalty Awarded),
83', 2 - 3, Malysh M. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astrakhan won 1.
Astrakhan has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Druzhba is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Astrakhan has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Druzhba holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Astrakhan has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 0.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Astrakhan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:1 goals (averaging 0.8:0.3 per game).