Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 32

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
World	FIFA+


	Atalanta U23		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.37	3.3	2.8
	2.46	3.25	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.32	3.25	2.77	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (3.1)	3.23 ↑ (3)	2.84 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
39.4%

Draw
28.3%

FeralpiSalò
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

30.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

30.6%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atalanta U23's performance.

FeralpiSalò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FeralpiSalò might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FeralpiSalò could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atalanta U23 - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 20. Ceresoli A. 3. Del Lungo T. 15. Obric R. 14. Ghislandi D. 8. Gyabuaa M. (C) 10. Panada S. 16. Bergonzi F. 17. Bernasconi L. 11. Vavassori D. 31. Cassa F.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 19. Rizzo A. 5. Pasini N. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 27. Hergheligiu D. 42. De Francesco A. 20. Zennaro M. 77. Vesentini F. 21. Cavuoti N. 10. Di Molfetta D. 29. Crespi V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Ghislandi D. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Crespi V. ⚽,
35', Rizzo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Del Lungo T. ↓, Scheffer M. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Bernasconi L. ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, Vavassori D. ⚽,
63', Panada S. 🟨,
63', Vavassori D. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
68', Di Molfetta D. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
68', De Francesco A. ↓, Brambilla A. ↑,
68', Hergheligiu D. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Ghislandi D. ⚽,
82', Panada S. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
82', Ghislandi D. ↓, Pounga D. K. ↑,
82', Zennaro M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
86', Obric R. ↓, Berto G. ↑,
88', Balestrero D. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Atalanta U23 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

FeralpiSalò is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in FeralpiSalò: Boci B. (Inactive) Di Marco T. (Inactive) Maistrello T. (Inactive) Tomaselli G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Atalanta U23: Manzoni A. (Inactive) Tornaghi P. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.25	Pro Vercelli - Atalanta U23	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Atalanta U23 - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
03.03.25	Renate - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
24.02.25	Atalanta U23 - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Giana Erminio - Atalanta U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLTL
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.25	FeralpiSalò - Union Clodiense	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Lecco - FeralpiSalò	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	FeralpiSalò - Padova	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Caldiero Terme - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	AlbinoLeffe - FeralpiSalò	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.11.24	FeralpiSalò - Atalanta U23	3:1

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