Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 30

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
World	FIFA+


	Atalanta U23		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.77
	3.9	3.5	1.86
	3.55	3.39	2.04
	4.02	3.52	1.88
	4.33	3.3	1.75
	3.68	3.58	1.93	Watch
	3.8	3.45	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (3.98)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)	1.88 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
23.7%

Draw
26.9%

Vicenza Virtus
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.1%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

25.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Atalanta U23 - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: Vicenza Virtus will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vismara P. (G) 3. Del Lungo T. 15. Obric R. 20. Ceresoli A. 66. Bergonzi F. 8. Gyabuaa M. 10. Panada S. 33. Bernasconi L. 31. Cassa F. 11. Vavassori D. 26. Alessio F.	98. Confente A. (G) 23. Laezza G. 6. Leverbe M. 73. Sandon T. 44. Talarico R. 4. Carraro M. 29. Zonta L. 32. Costa F. 99. Della Morte M. 7. Rauti N. 9. Ferrari F.
Substitutes
30. Bertini T. (G) 4. Berto G. 29. Camara H. 9. De Nipoti T. 14. Ghislandi D. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Masi A. 32. Mencaraglia F. 37. Navarro A. 1. Pardel P. (G) 5. Pounga D. K. 25. Scheffer M.	13. Beghetto A. 20. Capone C. 26. De Col F. 8. Della L. S. 76. Fantoni N. 12. Gallo E. (G) 1. Massolo S. (G) 90. Morra C. 10. Ronaldo 5. Rossi F. 33. Vescovi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Alessio F. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Ceresoli A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Talarico R. ↓, De Col F. ↑,
54', Laezza G. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Ferrari F. ⚽,
65', Ferrari F. 🟨,
69', Gyabuaa M. 🟨,
71', Panada S. 🟨,
72', Zonta L. ↓, Capone C. ↑,
72', Rauti N. ↓, Morra C. ↑,
75', Del Lungo T. ↓, Ghislandi D. ↑,
75', Cassa F. ↓, Scheffer M. ↑,
81', Alessio F. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
83', Sandon T. ↓, Della L. S. ↑,
84', Bernasconi L. 🟨,
86', Ronaldo 🟨,
89', Vavassori D. ↓, Camara H. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Morra C. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Atalanta U23 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vicenza Virtus is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vicenza Virtus is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:10 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
03.03.25	Renate - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
24.02.25	Atalanta U23 - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Giana Erminio - Atalanta U23	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Atalanta U23 - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
02.02.25	Pergolettese - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
02.03.25	Vicenza Virtus - Union ArzignanoChiampo	4:0 ✺
23.02.25	Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Vicenza Virtus - Padova	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	FeralpiSalò - Vicenza Virtus	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Renate - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
26.10.24	Vicenza Virtus - Atalanta U23	3:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Atalanta U23 - Vicenza Virtus	1:2
Italian Serie C Group A
10.02.24	Atalanta U23 - Vicenza Virtus	1:2
30.09.23	Vicenza Virtus - Atalanta U23	3:0

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