Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 254


	Atalanta U23		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.5
	1.7	3.6	4.75
	1.68	3.65	4.88
	1.74	3.62	4.69	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.63	3.54	4.93	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)	3.56 ↑ (3.36)	4.79 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
55%

Draw
25.8%

Pergolettese
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Atalanta U23 - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bertini T. (G) 66. Bergonzi F. 13. Comi P. 3. Del Lungo T. 37. Navarro A. 21. Manzoni A. 10. Panada S. (C) 33. Bernasconi L. 9. De Nipoti T. 11. Vavassori D. 99. Vlahovic V.	1. Cordaro L. (G) 14. Lambrughi A. 4. Arini M. (C) 15. Stante F. 33. Capoferri M. 21. Careccia S. 6. Mondele L. 80. Jaouhari Z. 2. Tonoli D. 9. Parker S. 19. Basili D.
Substitutes
26. Alessio F. 31. Cassa F. 72. Cortinovis A. 14. Ghislandi D. 8. Gyabuaa M. 61. Idele J. 7. Muhameti E. 15. Obric R. 38. Sala L. (G) 25. Scheffer M. 39. Sodero A. 2. Tornaghi P. 35. Torriani A. (G)	70. Abubakar S. 16. Albertini A. 5. Bignami R. 92. Bouabre E. 11. Cerasani J. 12. Dordoni S. (G) 26. Lecchi M. 34. Olivieri E. 22. Raimondi P. (G) 27. Sartori G. 17. Scarsella F. 24. Schiavini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Stante F. 🟨,
38', Comi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', Stante F. ↓, Albertini A. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Parker S. ⚽,
50', 1 - 1, Del Lungo T. ⚽,
51', Mondele L. 🟨,
59', Mondele L. ↓, Abubakar S. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Vlahovic V. ⚽,
64', 3 - 1, Bergonzi F. ⚽,
66', Panada S. ↓, Gyabuaa M. ↑,
66', Comi P. ↓, Tornaghi P. ↑,
66', Lambrughi A. ↓, Bignami R. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Vlahovic V. ⚽,
70', Abubakar S. 🟨,
72', Vlahovic V. 🟨,
73', De Nipoti T. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
73', Vlahovic V. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
78', 5 - 1, Vavassori D. ⚽,
79', Basili D. ↓, Bouabre E. ↑,
79', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Schiavini A. ↑,
79', Vavassori D. ↓, Cortinovis A. ↑,
81', Tornaghi P. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Atalanta U23 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pergolettese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pergolettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta U23 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atalanta U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
22.09.24	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Triestina - Atalanta U23	1:5 ✺
07.09.24	Atalanta U23 - Trento	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Novara - Atalanta U23	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Atalanta U23 - Alcione	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.24	Pergolettese - FeralpiSalò	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Pergolettese - Union Clodiense	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Pergolettese - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
26.08.24	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.03.24	Atalanta U23 - Pergolettese	0:2
11.11.23	Pergolettese - Atalanta U23	0:3

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