Match Info

Coppa Italia Serie C - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio)


	Atalanta U23		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.94	3.28	1.63	Watch
	2.3	3.02	3.01
	2.28	3.33	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (1.92)	3.21 ↑ (3.06)	2.43 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
28.3%

Draw
30.9%

Alcione
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

29%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta U23's form might have worsened.

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcione's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcione, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atalanta U23 - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Lopes E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Lonardo E. ⚽,
76', Sassi J. 🟥,
88', 2 - 1, Cisse M. ⚽,

Preview

Atalanta U23 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alcione has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atalanta U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atalanta U23 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atalanta U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Atalanta U23 - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Picerno	6:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Trapani	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Nuova Cosenza - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Foggia	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Potenza - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWTL
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
26.10.25	Giana Erminio - Alcione	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Alcione - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Pergolettese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Alcione - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	Ospitaletto - Alcione	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.12.24	Alcione - Atalanta U23	0:1
24.08.24	Atalanta U23 - Alcione	1:2

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