Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 253


	Lumezzane		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.95	2.3
	3	3.1	2.35
	2.99	3.1	2.44
	3	3.11	2.44	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.3
	2.92	3.08	2.33	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.57)	3.07 ↑ (3.04)	2.36 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
31.2%

Draw
29.9%

Atalanta U23
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Lumezzane - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filigheddu S. (G) 66. Regazzetti S. 6. Pogliano C. 21. Dalmazzi A. 25. Pagliari M. 16. Tenkorang J. 4. Taugourdeau A. 10. Malotti M. 77. Pannitteri O. 45. Monachello G. 32. Iori M.	77. Dajcar M. (G) 66. Bergonzi F. 37. Navarro A. 2. Tornaghi P. 25. Scheffer M. 8. Gyabuaa M. 10. Panada S. 33. Bernasconi L. 9. De Nipoti T. 11. Vavassori D. 48. Vlahovic V.
Substitutes
73. Arici A. 11. Corti N. 19. D'Agostino S. 2. Deratti J. 31. Ferro M. 8. Lipari M. 7. Moscati M. 12. Ottolini E. (G) 24. Piga M. 3. Pisano E. 28. Scanzi M. 26. Terranova E. 30. Tremolada M.	26. Alessio F. 30. Bertini T. (G) 31. Cassa F. 80. Chiwisa M. 13. Comi P. 72. Cortinovis A. 14. Ghislandi D. 61. Idele J. 21. Manzoni A. 7. Muhameti E. 15. Obric R. 38. Sala L. (G) 39. Sodero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Pannitteri O. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Malotti M. ⚽,
41', Filigheddu S. 🟨,
42', Vlahovic V. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Iori M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Scheffer M. ↓, Ghislandi D. ↑,
50', Taugourdeau A. 🟨,
54', Navarro A. 🟨,
67+6', Tornaghi P. ↓, Comi P. ↑,
83', Malotti M. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Navarro A. ⚽,
90', Pisano E. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lumezzane won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lumezzane won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
15.09.24	Union Clodiense - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Lecco - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Virtus Verona - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.24	Lumezzane - Rimini	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLWL
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
15.09.24	Triestina - Atalanta U23	1:5 ✺
07.09.24	Atalanta U23 - Trento	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Novara - Atalanta U23	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Atalanta U23 - Alcione	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Atalanta U23 - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
05.03.24	Atalanta U23 - Lumezzane	1:0
28.10.23	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	3:2 penalties

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