Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Atalanta U23		Siracusa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.55	3.8
	1.83	3.6	4.13
	1.62	3.98	4.79	Watch
	1.77	3.44	4.06	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.62)	3.61 ↓ (3.98)	4.16 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
52.1%

Draw
25.6%

Siracusa
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta U23's form might have worsened.

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Atalanta U23 - Siracusa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 6. Comi P. 19. Obric R. 37. Navarro A. 61. Idele J. 5. Panada S. 47. Levak S. 24. Ghislandi D. 10. Cortinovis A. 11. Cassa F. 14. Cisse M.	22. Farroni A. (G) 2. Puzone M. 25. Bonacchi C. 5. Pacciardi F. 3. Cancellieri D. 27. Ba R. 17. Candiano M. (C) 77. Di Paolo S. 24. Limonelli C. 10. Parigini V. 9. Molina J. I.
Substitutes
66. Bergonzi F. 4. Berto G. 58. Bonanomi A. 40. Colombo M. 68. Fiogbe C. 7. Manzoni A. 9. Misitano G. 8. Pounga D. K. 21. Riccio L. 22. Sassi J. (G) 3. Simonetto F. 17. Torriani A. (G) 99. Vavassori D.	23. Catena E. M. 14. Contini G. 13. Falla R. 28. Frisenna G. 6. Frosali J. 7. Guadagni G. 20. Gudelevicius E. 55. Krastev D. 30. Morreale M. 4. Sapola M. 96. Sylla A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Molina J. I. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Levak S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Limonelli C. ↓, Frosali J. ↑,
50', Ghislandi D. 🟨,
60', Ghislandi D. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
60', Cassa F. ↓, Misitano G. ↑,
64', Puzone M. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Navarro A. ⚽,
70', Ba R. ↓, Frisenna G. ↑,
71', Cortinovis A. ↓, Manzoni A. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Misitano G. ⚽,
77', Molina J. I. 🟨,
78', Di Paolo S. ↓, Guadagni G. ↑,
78', Candiano M. ↓, Gudelevicius E. ↑,
83', Idele J. ↓, Pounga D. K. ↑,
83', Panada S. ↓, Bergonzi F. ↑,
87', Parigini V. ↓, Morreale M. ↑,
90+4', Obric R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent performances by Atalanta U23 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Siracusa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Siracusa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atalanta U23 is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Atalanta U23	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
23.11.25	Cavese - Atalanta U23	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Atalanta U23 - Giugliano	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Audace Cerignola - Atalanta U23	2:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Alcione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLWW
- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
22.11.25	Siracusa - Altamura	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Picerno - Siracusa	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Siracusa - Latina	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Giugliano - Siracusa	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Siracusa - Casarano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWLW

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