Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Domenico Monterisi (Cerignola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Audace Cerignola		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.35
	1.86	3.78	3.64	Watch
	2.1	3.41	3.35	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.88)	3.55 ↓ (3.58)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
47.5%

Draw
26.2%

Atalanta U23
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Audace Cerignola - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Audace Cerignola (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Iliev V. (G) 2. Todisco G. 23. Gasbarro A. 5. Martinelli L. 33. D'Orazio L. 4. Vitale G. 10. Paolucci L. 11. Bianchini G. 3. Russo L. 29. Cuppone L. 9. Gambale D.	95. Vismara P. (G) 6. Comi P. 37. Navarro A. 18. Guerini A. 61. Idele J. 21. Riccio L. 47. Levak S. 24. Ghislandi D. 99. Vavassori D. 7. Manzoni A. 9. Misitano G.
Substitutes
17. Ballabile E. . Biffaro A. (G) 45. Cocorocchio M. 58. Cretella C. 7. Dabizas A. 90. Emmausso M. 22. Fares G. (G) 71. Ianzano D. 20. Miguel Angel 99. Parlato C. 83. Ruggiero Z. 25. Spaltro R.	4. Berto G. 14. Cisse M. 40. Colombo M. 10. Cortinovis A. 68. Fiogbe C. 82. Lonardo E. 80. Mencaraglia F. 5. Panada S. 74. Papadopoulos C. 2. Plaia M. 8. Pounga D. K. 22. Sassi J. (G) 3. Simonetto F. 23. Tornaghi P. 17. Torriani A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Gambale D. ⚽,
17', Cuppone L. 🟥,
24', Idele J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Vavassori D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', D'Orazio L. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
46', Idele J. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Misitano G. ⚽,
55', Guerini A. 🟨,
59', Guerini A. ↓, Berto G. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, Vavassori D. ⚽,
63', Bianchini G. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
66', Gasbarro A. ↓, Emmausso M. ↑,
69', Riccio L. ↓, Panada S. ↑,
69', Misitano G. ↓, Cortinovis A. ↑,
70', 1 - 4, Simonetto F. ⚽,
73', 2 - 4, Emmausso M. ⚽,
73', Gambale D. ↓, Dabizas A. ↑,
73', Vitale G. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
74', Emmausso M. 🟨,
81', Ghislandi D. ↓, Plaia M. ↑,
85', 🟨,
87', Martinelli L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Audace Cerignola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atalanta U23 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Atalanta U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Audace Cerignola is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Trapani - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Cavese	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Cosenza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL
- Atalanta U23
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Alcione	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Picerno	6:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Trapani	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Nuova Cosenza - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Foggia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.05.25	Audace Cerignola - Atalanta U23	2:2
18.05.25	Atalanta U23 - Audace Cerignola	0:0

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