Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Cavese		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.2	2.52
	2.62	3.41	2.48	Watch
	2.45	3.38	2.74	Watch
	2.66	3.2	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.62)	3.3 ↓ (3.41)	2.57 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
35.9%

Draw
28.1%

Atalanta U23
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

26.7%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Cavese - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 15. Cionek T. 17. Nunziata F. 77. Amerighi I. 5. Awua T. 23. Munari D. 27. Loreto C. 24. Orlando F. 7. Sorrentino D. 82. Fusco G.	95. Vismara P. (G) 18. Guerini A. 19. Obric R. 4. Berto G. 61. Idele J. 5. Panada S. 47. Levak S. 24. Ghislandi D. 10. Cortinovis A. 99. Vavassori D. 14. Cisse M.
Substitutes
8. Barone M. 73. Bolcano D. 70. D'Incoronato F. 2. Di Paola M. 13. Evangelisti N. 10. Fella G. 21. Fornito G. 9. Guida A. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 20. Maiolo F. 22. Manzo F. (G) 14. Pelamatti A. 4. Suplja E.	66. Bergonzi F. 31. Cassa F. 6. Comi P. 68. Fiogbe C. 82. Lonardo E. 7. Manzoni A. 9. Misitano G. 37. Navarro A. 2. Plaia M. 8. Pounga D. K. 21. Riccio L. 22. Sassi J. (G) 3. Simonetto F. 23. Tornaghi P. 17. Torriani A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
18', Berto G. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Sorrentino D. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Vavassori D. ⚽,
27', Sorrentino D. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Cortinovis A. ⚽,
44', Panada S. 🟨,
44', 2 - 2, Orlando F. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Berto G. ↓, Navarro A. ↑,
55', Orlando F. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
68', Ghislandi D. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
74', Munari D. 🟨,
75', Cortinovis A. ↓, Manzoni A. ↑,
75', Cisse M. ↓, Misitano G. ↑,
78', Panada S. ↓, Pounga D. K. ↑,
80', Guerini A. 🟥,
85', Simonetto F. 🟨,
90+2', Amerighi I. ↓, Evangelisti N. ↑,
90+2', Sorrentino D. ↓, Guida A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Cavese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atalanta U23 has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
17.11.25	Foggia - Cavese	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Cavese - Potenza	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Picerno - Cavese	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cavese - Crotone	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Cavese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWTWW
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
08.11.25	Atalanta U23 - Giugliano	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Audace Cerignola - Atalanta U23	2:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Alcione	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Picerno	6:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Trapani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW

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