Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nicola De Simone (Siracusa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Siracusa		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.48
	2.52	3.36	2.6
	2.98	3.24	2.31	Watch
	2.71	3.23	2.56	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.9)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.43 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
33.7%

Draw
28.5%

Casarano
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.5%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Siracusa - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farroni A. (G) 4. Sapola M. 5. Pacciardi F. 25. Bonacchi C. 3. Cancellieri D. 24. Limonelli C. 28. Frisenna G. 77. Di Paolo S. 17. Candiano M. 19. Valente N. 9. Molina J. I.	22. Chiorra N. (G) 5. Celiento D. 4. Lulic K. 24. Gega E. 77. Cajazzo I. 23. Logoluso G. 8. D'Alena A. 20. Pinto G. 10. Chirico C. 9. Malcore G. 11. Ferrara V.
Substitutes
27. Ba R. 12. Bonucci B. (G) 11. Capanni L. 23. Catena E. M. 14. Contini G. 13. Falla R. 6. Frosali J. 7. Guadagni G. 20. Gudelevicius E. 30. Morreale M. 10. Parigini V. 33. Zanini M.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 26. Barone A. 35. Cerbone S. 80. Di Dio F. 19. Guastamacchia A. 30. Malagnino D. 14. Micello A. 15. Milicevic M. 21. Millico V. 18. Perez L. 12. Pucci D. (G) 90. Zanaboni E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Chirico C. ⚽,
26', Sapola M. ↓, Falla R. ↑,
38', Celiento D. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Molina J. I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', Celiento D. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
54', Ferrara V. ↓, Barone A. ↑,
59', Falla R. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Di Paolo S. ⚽,
63', Molina J. I. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Frisenna G. ⚽,
71', Cajazzo I. ↓, Guastamacchia A. ↑,
78', Di Paolo S. ↓, Guadagni G. ↑,
79', Frisenna G. ↓, Ba R. ↑,
79', Chirico C. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
79', Pinto G. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
86', 4 - 1, Guadagni G. ⚽,
89', Molina J. I. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Siracusa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Casarano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siracusa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Casertana - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Siracusa - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Catania - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Siracusa - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Siracusa - Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.25	Casarano - Foggia	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Casertana - Casarano	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Casarano - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Sorrento - Casarano	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
11.05.25	Casarano - Siracusa	1:3

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