Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Atherton Collieries		Buxton

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.8	3.3	1.84
	4.2	3.43	1.87
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	3.96	3.5	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.66)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atherton Collieries
23.9%

Draw
26.3%

Buxton
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.2%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

20%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buxton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atherton Collieries - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Atherton Collieries is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Buxton is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atherton Collieries could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Buxton is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
12.02.22	South Shields - Atherton Collieries	2:1 ✺
01.02.22	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
22.01.22	Atherton Collieries - Stafford Rangers	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Whitby Town - Atherton Collieries	0:2 ✺
11.01.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Atherton Collieries	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWL
- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
19.02.22	Buxton - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Nantwich Town - Buxton	1:3 ✺
08.02.22	Buxton - Basford United	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Buxton - South Shields	2:2 ✺
29.01.22	Hyde United - Buxton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.11.21	Buxton - Atherton Collieries	2:0
16.11.19	Atherton Collieries - Buxton	1:1

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