Match Info

Date: 19 February 2022, Saturday


	Buxton		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.4	5.75
	1.4	4.3	6.2
	1.43	4.44	7.2
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.43	4.3	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	4.39 ↓ (4.45)	6.26 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
64.6%

Draw
20.8%

Gainsborough Trinity
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

20.1%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

12.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buxton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gainsborough Trinity could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Buxton - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs) and 17).

Buxton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gainsborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Buxton is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Buxton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Buxton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
12.02.22	Nantwich Town - Buxton	1:3 ✺
08.02.22	Buxton - Basford United	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Buxton - South Shields	2:2 ✺
29.01.22	Hyde United - Buxton	1:2 ✺
22.01.22	Morpeth Town - Buxton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWL
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
12.02.22	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	3:2 ✺
08.02.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Stafford Rangers	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Radcliffe - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
15.01.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Basford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.09.21	Gainsborough Trinity - Buxton	0:0
08.02.20	Buxton - Gainsborough Trinity	3:3
15.10.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Buxton	0:0
09.02.19	Buxton - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0
15.12.18	Gainsborough Trinity - Buxton	1:2

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