Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Atherton Collieries		South Shields

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.82
	3.5	3.25	1.84
	3.9	3.25	1.83
	4.75	3.8	1.67
	4.2	3.1	1.8
	4.65	3.58	1.69
	3.75	3.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.27)	3.37 ↑ (2.95)	1.79 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atherton Collieries
22.2%

Draw
27%

South Shields
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30.5%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

30.6%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atherton Collieries's form might have worsened.

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Shields's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atherton Collieries, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Shields, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atherton Collieries - South Shields Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Atherton Collieries is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

South Shields is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match South Shields is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
17.01.23	Atherton Collieries - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Hyde United - Atherton Collieries	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Atherton Collieries - Lancaster City	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Guiseley - Atherton Collieries	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTLW
- South Shields FC
English NPL Premier Division
14.01.23	Guiseley - South Shields	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	South Shields - Marine	2:1 ✺
02.01.23	Morpeth Town - South Shields	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	South Shields - Whitby Town	4:2 ✺
03.12.22	South Shields - Ashton United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
24.09.22	South Shields - Atherton Collieries	0:0
12.02.22	South Shields - Atherton Collieries	2:1
06.11.21	Atherton Collieries - South Shields	1:1
05.10.19	South Shields - Atherton Collieries	3:0

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