Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday


	Morpeth Town		South Shields

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.75
	3.35	3.5	1.8
	3.6	3.55	1.81
	3.64	3.9	1.85
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	3.7	3.65	1.82
	3.75	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (4.4)	3.57 ↓ (4)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
24.8%

Draw
25.3%

South Shields
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

21.6%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Shields might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morpeth Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Shields could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Morpeth Town - South Shields Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Morpeth will win (votes: 1 - 20%). South Shields will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 1.

Morpeth has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

South Shields is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

South Shields could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match South Shields is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's South Shields to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
03.12.22	Guiseley - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Morpeth Town - Belper Town	0:2 ✺
19.11.22	Warrington Rylands - Morpeth Town	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Nantwich Town - Morpeth Town	3:0 ✺
05.11.22	Morpeth Town - Marine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- South Shields FC
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.22	South Shields - Whitby Town	4:2 ✺
03.12.22	South Shields - Ashton United	3:3 ✺
30.11.22	Radcliffe - South Shields	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Warrington Town - South Shields	3:2 ✺
22.11.22	South Shields - Bamber Bridge	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
29.08.22	South Shields - Morpeth Town	1:0
08.02.22	Morpeth Town - South Shields	1:0
12.10.21	South Shields - Morpeth Town	2:0
20.10.20	South Shields - Morpeth Town	0:0
04.02.20	Morpeth Town - South Shields	1:1

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