Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday


	Stafford Rangers		Atherton Collieries

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.1
	1.68	3.75	4.2
	1.69	4.1	4.08
	1.69	4.11	4.08
	1.7	3.6	4
	1.64	3.82	4.33
	1.68	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.95)	3.82 ↑ (3.52)	4.14 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stafford Rangers
54.2%

Draw
23.8%

Atherton Collieries
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.7%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stafford Rangers's performance.

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atherton Collieries might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stafford Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stafford won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Stafford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stafford is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Stafford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Stafford won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Brackley Town	0:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
14.11.23	Worksop Town - Stafford Rangers	5:0 ✺
11.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Morpeth Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Stafford Rangers - Quorn	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Macclesfield Town - Atherton Collieries	6:0 ✺
11.11.23	Worksop Town - Atherton Collieries	4:1 ✺
04.11.23	Atherton Collieries - Ilkeston	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	United of Manchester - Atherton Collieries	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
03.12.22	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	1:2
16.08.22	Atherton Collieries - Stafford Rangers	1:2
22.01.22	Atherton Collieries - Stafford Rangers	1:1
25.09.21	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	1:1
27.10.20	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	0:3

Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide