The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletic Bilbao 68.8%
Draw 19.1%
Alhama 12.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
24.1%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
23.1%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao's performance.
Alhama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Athletic Bilbao - Alhama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Nanclares A. (G) 14. Banos L. 2. Torre Larranaga M. 4. Bibi (C) 27. Zaldivar N. 33. Gurtubay E. 5. Valero M. 22. Agote D. 15. Pinedo C. 10. Zugasti P. 7. Amezaga J.
1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 3. Martinez N. 5. Yannel 10. Alvarez A. 9. Pinel R. (C) 18. Encarni 19. Martinez B. 7. Yiyi 26. Montesinos V. 21. Perez M.
Substitutes
29. Aguirregomezcorta O. 23. Arana E. 11. Azkona A. 21. Campos A. 3. Landaluze N. 6. Oguiza I. 1. Santana O. (G) 26. Vega Z. (G) 19. Vilarino M.
13. Belotto S. (G) 4. Caravaca J. 22. Diaz Leal M. 8. Estefa 11. Kuki 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 28. Zapata P.
Coaches
Berrogui R.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Agote D. ⚽, Zaldivar N. (A),
39', Yannel 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Zugasti P. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
46', Yannel ↓, Caravaca J. ↑,
46', Encarni ↓, Velazquez Jurico A. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Campos A. ⚽, Pinedo C. (A),
61', Pinel R. ↓, Estefa ↑,
61', Yiyi ↓, Diaz Leal M. ↑,
63', Martinez N. 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Amezaga J. ⚽, Bibi (A),
66', Amezaga J. ↓, Azkona A. ↑,
66', Bibi ↓, Aguirregomezcorta O. ↑,
69', Santamaria Coleto A. ↓, Kuki ↑,
71', 4 - 0, Campos A. ⚽, Azkona A. (A),
72', Gurtubay E. ↓, Vilarino M. ↑,
76', Valero M. ↓, Oguiza I. ↑,
77', Torre Larranaga M. 🟨,
84', 4 - 1, Diaz Leal M. ⚽, Kuki (A),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).
Alhama is Relegated to Primera Federacion Women
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Athletic is the clear favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Spain
Watch
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Nanclares A. (G) 
Bibi (C) 
Yannel 
Yiyi 
Belotto S. (G) 
Diaz Leal M. 
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