Match Info

LaLiga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao)

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Athletic Bilbao		Getafe

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	6	Watch
	1.65	3.55	6.4	Watch
	1.69	3.6	6.4
	1.73	3.22	5.67	Watch
	1.67	3.59	6.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.68)	3.49 (3.49)	6.19 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
57.1%

Draw
27.4%

Getafe
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

27.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

26.5%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Getafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	5.4%	8.1%

Athletic Bilbao - Getafe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Getafe (5.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Athletic (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletic Bilbao will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Getafe (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (G) 15. Lekue I. (C) 3. Vivian D. 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 18. Jauregizar M. 7. Berenguer A. 8. Sancet O. 10. Williams N. 11. Guruzeta G.	13. Soria D. (G) 17. Kiko Femenia 21. Iglesias J. 22. Duarte D. 2. Djene (C) 16. Rico D. 23. Liso A. 5. Milla L. 8. Arambarri M. 20. da Costa C. 9. Mayoral B.
Substitutes
12. Areso J. 19. Boiro A. 20. Gomez U. 2. Gorosabel A. 25. Izeta 23. Navarro R. 27. Padilla A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 30. Rego A. 21. Sannadi M. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M.	31. Bekhoucha I. 14. Javier Munoz 37. Joselu 7. Juanmi 11. Kamara A. 32. Laso L. 1. Letacek J. (G) 6. Martin M. 4. Neyou Y.
Coaches
Valverde E.	Bordalas Jimenez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Lekue I. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
32', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
59', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
59', Berenguer A. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
68', da Costa C. ↓, Martin M. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Mayoral B. ⚽,
76', Sancet O. ↓, Izeta ↑,
85', Kiko Femenia ↓, Javier Munoz ↑,
88', Duarte D. 🟨,
90+4', Rico D. 🟨,
90+5', Martin M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.

Recent performances by Athletic have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Getafe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Athletic is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Williams I. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Getafe: Abqar A. (Injury) Alex Sancris (Red Card) Davinchi (Knee Injury) Nyom A. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.25	Elche - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
27.09.25	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLL
- Getafe CF
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.25	Getafe - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Osasuna - Getafe	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Getafe - Levante	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Getafe - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Barcelona - Getafe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.05.25	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	0:2
15.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	1:1
03.05.24	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	0:2
27.09.23	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	2:2
01.04.23	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	0:0
18.10.22	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	2:2
18.03.22	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	1:1

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