Match Info

LaLiga - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Cambodia	02:00	MyTV
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	16:00	ESPN 3
China	03:00	Migu
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 2
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 3
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:00	Disney+
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	03:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 3
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	S Sport
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Disney+
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Valencia		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.20	2.30	Watch
	3.10	3.20	2.35
	3.20	3.30	2.25	Watch
	3.29	3.31	2.40
	3.05	3.39	2.36	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.35
	3.50	3.24	2.23	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.36)	3.28 ↓ (3.49)	2.32 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
29.6%

Draw
29.2%

Athletic Bilbao
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.3%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.6%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Valencia - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Athletic will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Valencia (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Athletic (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 24. Maffeo P. 5. Tarrega C. 12. De Haas J. 14. Gaya J. (C) 18. Pepelu 2. Rodriguez G. 19. Raba D. 8. Guerra J. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H.	1. Simon U. (G) 15. Rincon H. 4. Paredes A. 14. Laporte A. 31. Louis-Jean J. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 24. Gerenabarrena B. 7. Berenguer A. 28. Canales P. 23. Navarro R. 9. Williams I. (C)
Substitutes
37. Blazquez A. 4. Diakhaby M. 15. Dieng A. 10. Elliott H. 22. Martinez A. 33. Mayol A. 27. Otorbi D. 11. Rioja L. 39. Sato R. 23. Ugrinic F. 25. van Oevelen K. (G) 21. Vazquez J.	5. Alvarez Y. 12. Areso J. 17. Berchiche Y. 11. Guruzeta G. 33. Imga C. 18. Jauregizar M. 13. Padilla A. (G) 6. Prados Diaz B. 20. Rego A. 21. Sannadi M. 22. Serrano N. 3. Vivian D.
Coaches
Aguirre J.	Terzic E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Raba D. 🟨,
38', Laporte A. 🟨,
42', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
54', Duro H. ↓, Otorbi D. ↑,
54', Raba D. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
57', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
63', Louis-Jean J. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
63', Williams I. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
63', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
69', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
74', De Haas J. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
86', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
86', Rodriguez G. ↓, Ugrinic F. ↑,
87', Pepelu 🟨,
90', Tarrega C. 🟨,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 19th in the Relegation - LaLiga2 and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 2.

Valencia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Athletic shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Valencia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Athletic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Valencia: Canos S. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Knee Injury) Foulquier D. (Injury) Lopez D. (Knee Injury) Sadiq U. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Athletic: Djalo A. (Illness) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Valencia has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:19 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Valencia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.1:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ath Bilbao	9	3	3	3	12:9	3	12
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.45% Valencia: 0.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 28.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
11.10.26	Racing Santander - Valencia	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Valencia - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
15.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Sevilla - Valencia	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Valencia - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLL
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao	Abandoned ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Elche	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 ?WTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
10.05.26	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	2:0
18.05.25	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	0:1
28.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	1:0
20.01.24	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:0
29.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	2:2

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