The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletic Bilbao 47.3%
Draw 25.9%
Madrid CFF 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
26.5%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
26.7%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Madrid CFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (+3%)
Athletic Bilbao - Madrid CFF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Nanclares A. (G) 3. Landaluze N. 2. Torre Larranaga M. 23. Arana E. 20. Elexpuru A. 14. Banos L. 5. Valero M. 18. Ortega S. 22. Agote D. 11. Azkona A. (C) 15. Pinedo C.
1. Ulloa P. (C) 19. Mendoza N. 4. Villafane S. 5. Monica 14. Ruiz A. 3. Laborde E. 20. Sosa A. 16. Antonsdottir H. 21. Rivas M. 23. Nautnes E. 11. Melgard K.
Substitutes
7. Amezaga J. 21. Campos A. 33. Gurtubay E. 17. Nevado N. 6. Oguiza I. 1. Santana O. (G) 19. Vilarino M. 27. Zaldivar N.
10. Anita 30. de Gracia B. (G) 9. Lopez B. 24. Olofsson F. 17. Poljak A. 6. Sanchez N.
Coaches
Lerga J.
Sanchez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Sosa A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Ortega S. ⚽,
45', Torre Larranaga M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Agote D. ↓, Amezaga J. ↑,
46', Torre Larranaga M. ↓, Oguiza I. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Amezaga J. ⚽,
51', Rivas M. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
56', Melgard K. 🟨,
59', Nautnes E. 🟥,
68', 3 - 1, Banos L. ⚽, Landaluze N. (A),
69', Pinedo C. ↓, Nevado N. ↑,
70', Monica ↓, Anita ↑,
71', Sosa A. ↓, Olofsson F. ↑,
72', Melgard K. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
73', 4 - 1, Azkona A. ⚽, Elexpuru A. (A),
77', Ortega S. ↓, Gurtubay E. ↑,
81', Anita 🟨,
85', Elexpuru A. ↓, Vilarino M. ↑,
90', Amezaga J. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).