Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 19

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)

Referee: Sanchez Y. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana


	Sevilla		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.05	2.2
	3.42	3.25	2.12
	2.9	3.17	2.45	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.1
	3.43	3.12	2.18
	3.33	3.33	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
28.6%

Draw
29.3%

Athletic Bilbao
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

28.4%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sullastres E. (C) 17. Garcia D. 5. Llamas E. 4. Alvarez I. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E. 20. Marquez R. 6. Redondo A. 9. Kanteh Cham F. 10. Cortes M. 7. Morcillo R. 11. Moral L.	13. Nanclares A. (G) 20. Elexpuru A. 2. Torre Larranaga M. 23. Arana E. 27. Zaldivar N. 15. Pinedo C. 5. Valero M. 33. Gurtubay E. 18. Ortega S. 11. Azkona A. (C) 22. Agote D.
Substitutes
8. Alvarez A. 16. Arnaiz I. 35. Barrios X. 13. Echezarreta M. (G) 21. Gili Giner G. 22. Hagel C. 30. Lopez A. 24. Marques A. 31. Perez M. (G) 34. Torres J.	14. Banos L. 21. Campos A. 3. Landaluze N. 17. Nevado N. 1. Santana O. (G) 19. Vilarino M. 8. Zubieta M.
Coaches
Losada D.	Lerga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Valero M. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Moral L. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Ortega S. 🟨,
37', Moral L. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Kanteh Cham F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zaldivar N. ↓, Nevado N. ↑,
46', Gurtubay E. ↓, Zubieta M. ↑,
47', Llamas E. 🟨,
54', 3 - 0, Moral L. ⚽, Marquez R. (A),
59', Moral L. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
60', Pinedo C. 🟨,
65', 4 - 0, Morcillo R. ⚽, Kanteh Cham F. (A),
71', Garcia D. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
71', Cortes M. ↓, Gili Giner G. ↑,
79', Redondo A. ↓, Hagel C. ↑,
79', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Barrios X. ↑,
79', Agote D. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
79', Valero M. ↓, Vilarino M. ↑,
80', Pinedo C. ↓, Banos L. ↑,
87', Banos L. 🟨,
88', Marquez R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.

Sevilla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Athletic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Athletic Bilbao W	6	3	2	1	11:8	3	11
10	Sevilla FC W	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC Women
Spanish Liga F Women
01.02.26	Barcelona - Sevilla	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Sevilla - Levante	4:2 ✺
18.01.26	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
20.12.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Athletic Bilbao Women
Spanish Copa De La Reina
04.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	4:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
31.01.26	Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
Spanish Supercopa Women
21.01.26	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	3:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
18.01.26	Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao	5:0 ✺
13.01.26	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
28.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:1
15.03.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	0:1
15.12.24	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	2:5
16.06.24	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	2:1
17.12.23	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
24.03.23	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:1
17.12.22	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	1:1

Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide