Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Planes M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	16:30	DAZN Espana, RTVE Play


	Athletic Bilbao		Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.00	5.50
	1.44	3.95	5.70	Watch
	1.48	4.24	6.77
	1.51	4.15	6	Watch
	1.42	4.15	6.70
	1.54	3.91	6.00
	1.46	4.10	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (2.12)	4.07 ↑ (3.2)	6.07 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
62.3%

Draw
22.5%

Valencia
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.8%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao's performance.

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Bilbao - Valencia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nanclares A. (G) 3. Landaluze N. 2. Torre Larranaga M. 23. Arana E. 12. Facila G. 20. Elexpuru A. 5. Valero M. 33. Gurtubay E. 17. Agote D. 18. Ortega S. 11. Azkona A. (C)	25. Pinguet A. (G) 3. Perez Sanchez L. 5. Martin N. 18. Saez C. 14. Pauleta (C) 2. Tamarit S. 21. Mrabet Y. K. 6. Flordelis G. 7. Marcano D. 32. Marchena N. 19. Moral L.
Substitutes
7. Amezaga J. 21. Artero M. 1. Astralaga E. (G) 8. Campos A. 16. Iribarren 22. Martinez A. 6. Oguiza I. 15. Pinedo C. 19. Vilarino M. 27. Zaldivar N. 10. Zugasti P.	10. Elloh R. 4. Fernandez C. 13. Llacer M. (G) 8. Marin C. 11. Mascarell M. 17. Morato T. 9. Prat S.
Coaches
Martin V.	Crespo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Agote D. 🟨,
29', Saez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moral L. ↓, Elloh R. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Pinguet A. (Own goal),
64', Azkona A. ↓, Amezaga J. ↑,
64', Facila G. ↓, Zaldivar N. ↑,
64', Agote D. ↓, Pinedo C. ↑,
71', Perez Sanchez L. ↓, Morato T. ↑,
71', Flordelis G. ↓, Marin C. ↑,
71', Marchena N. ↓, Mascarell M. ↑,
79', Gurtubay E. ↓, Iribarren ↑,
82', Marcano D. ↓, Prat S. ↑,
87', Ortega S. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
88', Pauleta 🟨,
90+5', Saez C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th and 16th in the Relegation - Primera Federacion Women).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.

Athletic has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Valencia is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Athletic as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Athletic has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:27 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Athletic against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Athletic Bilbao W	8	4	3	1	12:8	4	15
16	Valencia W	8	0	0	8	4:18	-14	0

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.38%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Valencia - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 27.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao Women
Spanish Liga F Women
03.10.26	Madrid CFF - Athletic Bilbao	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Eibar - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Logroño United - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLTW
- Valencia CF Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
04.10.26	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Valencia - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Logroño United - Valencia	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Valencia - Madrid CFF	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
25.01.25	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	0:1
20.10.24	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	1:1
17.03.24	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	2:0
18.11.23	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
12.03.23	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	0:2
05.11.22	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
02.04.22	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	2:2

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