Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Athletic Bilbao B		Extremadura UD

	1	X	2
	1.07	10	34
	1.08	8.25	34
	1.12	6	19
	1.07	8.04	26.75
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	1.02	12.75	43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (2.12)	8.02 ↑ (2.99)	26.68 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
83.2%

Draw
12.9%

Extremadura UD
3.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

30.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

21%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+39.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao B's performance.

Extremadura UD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Extremadura UD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-53.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (+33.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Extremadura UD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Bilbao B - Extremadura UD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Athletic Bilbao B is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Extremadura UD is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.01.22	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
19.12.21	Athletic Bilbao B - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0 ✺
05.12.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Deportivo A Coruña - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLLTT
- Extremadura UD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.01.22	Real Unión de Irun - Extremadura UD	0:1 ✺
18.12.21	Extremadura UD - Racing Santander	2:4 ✺
12.12.21	UD Logroñés - Extremadura UD	1:3 ✺
04.12.21	Extremadura UD - Zamora	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Extremadura UD - Zamora	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WLWTL

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