Match Info

Date: 8 January 2022, Saturday


	Real Unión de Irun		Extremadura UD

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.5	12
	1.41	3.9	7.25
	1.28	4.64	13.4
	1.73	3.3	4.5
	1.56	3.8	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.87)	4.63 ↑ (3.28)	8.56 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
67.8%

Draw
20.9%

Extremadura UD
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

28.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

18.4%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Unión de Irun's performance.

Extremadura UD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Extremadura UD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-35.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Unión de Irun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (+22.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Extremadura UD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	5.6%	6.9%

Real Unión de Irun - Extremadura UD Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Unión de Irun will win (63 of 72 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.86% – 95.14%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Real Unión is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.12.21	Talavera de la Reina - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
11.12.21	Real Unión de Irun - Ferrol	0:3 ✺
05.12.21	Tudelano - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Palencia CA - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.21	Real Unión de Irun - Zamora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLW
- Extremadura UD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.12.21	Extremadura UD - Racing Santander	2:4 ✺
12.12.21	UD Logroñés - Extremadura UD	1:3 ✺
04.12.21	Extremadura UD - Zamora	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Extremadura UD - Zamora	1:4 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.11.21	Celta de Vigo B - Extremadura UD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LWTLT

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