Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Athletic Bilbao B		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.85
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.31	2.85	3.05
	2.28	3.11	3.15
	2.25	2.87	3.2
	2.26	3.08	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.5)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
40.3%

Draw
29.5%

San Sebastian Reyes
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

22.7%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Sebastian Reyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Sebastian Reyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Bilbao B - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Athletic Bilbao B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

SS Reyes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletic Bilbao B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Athletic Bilbao B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.12.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0 ✺
05.12.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Deportivo A Coruña - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
12.11.21	Racing Santander - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTTLL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.12.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Fuenlabrada	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.12.21	San Sebastian Reyes - SD Logroñés	3:1 ✺
05.12.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	San Juan - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.02.17	San Sebastian Reyes - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
09.10.16	Athletic Bilbao B - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.10.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Cacereño	✺
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.11.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Albacete B	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Coria	✺

Athletic Bilbao B - San Sebastian Reyes