Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Calahorra		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.2	1.73
	4.33	3.3	1.83
	4.15	3.49	1.81
	4.14	3.49	1.82
	4.6	3.24	1.74
	4.3	3.3	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (6.73)	3.34 ↓ (4.5)	1.78 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calahorra
21.2%

Draw
27.4%

Athletic Bilbao B
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

20.2%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

20%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calahorra's performance.

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calahorra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 3.

Recent matches Calahorra is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athletic Bilbao B is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Calahorra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Calahorra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calahorra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.11.23	UD Logroñés - Calahorra	4:0 ✺
04.11.23	Calahorra - Brea	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Gernika - Calahorra	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Calahorra - Real Sociedad C	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Náxara - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLW
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.11.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
29.10.23	Athletic Bilbao B - San Juan	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Mutilvera - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
14.10.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.03.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	2:3
02.10.22	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.05.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	1:3
09.01.22	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.04.21	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1
07.04.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	2:1
19.01.20	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3

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