Match Info

Date: 17 March 2021, Wednesday


	Athletic Bilbao B		Leioa

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.6	6.5
	1.42	3.85	7
	1.37	4.2	7
	1.36	4.16	8.09
	1.42	3.9	7.5
	1.34	4.72	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.68)	4.07 ↑ (3.68)	7.47 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
65.4%

Draw
22.4%

Leioa
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.7%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao B's performance.

Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leioa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Leioa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Promotion Group) and 11 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group)).

Leioa is Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group)

Athletic Bilbao B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leioa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Athletic Bilbao B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.03.21	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
06.03.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Laredo	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Alavés B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
06.02.21	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
30.01.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Portugalete	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW
- SD Leioa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.03.21	Leioa - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
07.03.21	Amorebieta - Leioa	2:1 ✺
03.03.21	Leioa - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Leioa - Alavés B	2:2 ✺
07.02.21	Racing Santander - Leioa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.11.20	Leioa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
06.12.19	Leioa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0
03.02.19	Athletic Bilbao B - Leioa	2:1
15.09.18	Leioa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:4
17.03.18	Athletic Bilbao B - Leioa	1:0
28.10.17	Leioa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0
22.04.17	Leioa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3

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