Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Amorebieta		Leioa

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.72	3.05	5
	1.65	3.1	5.6
	1.68	3.3	6.4
	1.73	3.1	5.25
	1.7	3.22	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	5.57 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
54.7%

Draw
28.8%

Leioa
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

29.5%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

23.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Amorebieta - Leioa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Promotion Group) and 11 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leioa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leioa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Amorebieta is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.03.21	Barakaldo - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
27.02.21	Real Unión de Irun - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
20.02.21	Amorebieta - Alavés B	3:2 ✺
13.02.21	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
06.02.21	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL
- SD Leioa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.03.21	Leioa - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Leioa - Alavés B	2:2 ✺
07.02.21	Racing Santander - Leioa	2:0 ✺
24.01.21	Real Unión de Irun - Leioa	5:0 ✺
16.01.21	Leioa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.12.20	Leioa - Amorebieta	1:1
23.11.19	Leioa - Amorebieta	0:1
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Amorebieta - Leioa	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.02.19	Leioa - Amorebieta	0:0
06.10.18	Amorebieta - Leioa	1:3
28.04.18	Amorebieta - Leioa	3:2
02.12.17	Leioa - Amorebieta	0:1

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