Match Info

Date: 30 January 2021, Saturday


	Athletic Bilbao B		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	3.8
	1.85	2.95	4.6
	1.78	3.15	4.4
	1.96	2.99	4.78
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	1.94	3.25	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.6)	3.07 ↓ (3.27)	4.22 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
48.4%

Draw
29.9%

Portugalete
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

27.6%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

22.3%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao B's form might have worsened.

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portugalete's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portugalete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Athletic Bilbao B - Portugalete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Promotion Group) and 9 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Relegation Group)).

Athletic Bilbao B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portugalete is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.01.21	Racing Santander - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
03.01.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	3:0 ✺
19.12.20	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTWW
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.01.21	Amorebieta - Portugalete	2:1 ✺
16.01.21	Portugalete - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
10.01.21	Portugalete - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Portugalete - Levante	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.12.20	Barakaldo - Portugalete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.11.20	Portugalete - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3
Club Friendly
31.07.17	Portugalete - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2

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