The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amorebieta 38.2%
Draw 32.5%
Athletic Bilbao B 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
32%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
24.2%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 5. Amelibia J. 4. Kortazar M. 20. Coto E. 11. Hervias P. 14. Ben Hamed N. 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 6. Nakai P. 8. Guerrero J. 21. Marin A.
25. Santos M. (G) 22. Irurita X. 4. Dunabeitia A. 3. De Luis J. 24. Louis-Jean J. 7. Varela I. 6. Rego A. 10. Sanchez I. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 21. Bujan E. 19. Azkune E.
Substitutes
15. Aurtenetxe J. 23. Calavera J. 18. Coulibaly A. 33. Issachi A. 9. Kaxe 17. Munoz I. 30. Pedrosa Moran Y. (G) 7. Selma D. 22. Yuste A.
17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 34. Alboniga-Menor G. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 30. Gamen Morales E. 23. Hierro A. 28. Monreal I. 31. Oyono I. 9. Sanz I. 26. Sola J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Rego A. 🟨,
28', Marin A. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Azkune E. ⚽,
39', Coto E. 🟨,
45', Nakai P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Nakai P. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
62', Bravo Fernandez M. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
62', Marin A. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
69', Varela I. ↓, Sanz I. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Sanz I. ⚽,
77', Guerrero J. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
77', Coto E. ↓, Issachi A. ↑,
80', Louis-Jean J. ↓, Ebro Cortina E. ↑,
85', Ben Hamed N. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', Azkune E. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
90+2', Dunabeitia A. 🟨,
90+4', Yuste A. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 2.
Recent matches Amorebieta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Athletic Bilbao B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Athletic Bilbao B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Athletic Bilbao B have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:33 (average 1.3:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.9:1.5).