Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)


	Unionistas de Salamanca		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	5.5
	1.61	3.4	5
	1.75	3.4	4.4
	1.67	3.53	5.45
	1.68	3.54	5.05
	1.64	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.07)	3.42 ↑ (2.9)	5.05 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
55.1%

Draw
26.8%

San Sebastian Reyes
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

31.9%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unionistas de Salamanca's performance.

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Sebastian Reyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unionistas de Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Sebastian Reyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unionistas de Salamanca - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Unionistas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SS Reyes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SS Reyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unionistas is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unionistas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Unionistas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.02.23	Alcorcón - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Linares Deportivo - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
05.02.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.02.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Linense	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	San Sebastian Reyes - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Mérida AD - San Sebastian Reyes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.10.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1
13.05.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2
05.12.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.05.19	Unionistas de Salamanca - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1
16.12.18	San Sebastian Reyes - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2

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