Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Athletic Bilbao B		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.98	3.05	3.85
	2.01	3.07	3.93
	2.03	3.07	3.99	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	1.93	2.98	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.78)	3 ↓ (3.29)	3.92 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
46.3%

Draw
30.4%

Talavera de la Reina
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

29.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao B's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 2. Irurita X. 5. Monreal I. 3. De Luis J. 12. Barandalla M. 22. Perez A. 18. Garcia E. 8. Lete E. 33. Sanchez S. 9. Sanz I. 23. Gift E.	13. Belman (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 15. Acosta L. 5. Molina S. 2. Cuenca D. 20. Ferni 6. Pitu 16. Navarro I. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 24. Nordin M. 9. Moreno M.
Substitutes
15. Alday I. 11. Bujan E. 27. Galindo I. (G) 6. Gibelalde M. 7. Hierro A. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 20. Korkut E. 34. Urzaiz U.	7. Di Renzo G. 23. Farrando M. 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 4. Lopez A. 14. Molina A. 21. Montero Sergio 3. Roig A. 8. Sanchez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 🟨,
30', Pitu 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Sanz I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Moreno M. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Gallardo Rodriguez E. ⚽,
69', Nordin M. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
77', Pitu ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Montero Sergio ⚽,
88', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Athletic Bilbao B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ath Bilbao B	6	3	2	1	12:8	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.03.26	Celta de Vigo B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWTL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.03.26	Talavera de la Reina - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
20.03.22	Talavera de la Reina - Athletic Bilbao B	4:0
21.11.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Talavera de la Reina	0:1

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