Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 33

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	San Sebastian Reyes		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	5	3	1.75
	4.2	3.1	1.77
	4.61	3.19	1.88
	4.5	3.2	1.85
	4.4	3.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (3.76)	3.14 ↑ (2.8)	1.81 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
20.2%

Draw
29.2%

Ferrol
50.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.3%

32.6%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

32.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferrol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 3.

Recent matches SS Reyes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SS Reyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams SS Reyes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.04.23	Fuenlabrada - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Real Madrid Castilla - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTLTW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.04.23	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Mérida AD - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ferrol - San Fernando	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	Ferrol - Rayo Majadahonda	4:1 ✺
12.03.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.01.23	Ferrol - San Sebastian Reyes	3:0
27.03.22	Ferrol - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0
27.11.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.01.20	Ferrol - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2
25.08.19	San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol	2:0
22.04.18	Ferrol - San Sebastian Reyes	4:1
26.11.17	San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol	0:0

San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol

Match Info

Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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